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2025/10/13
[ALCS] A Blast and Bullpen Structure Led to Victory──Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 (October 13, 2025 JST)
【MLBポストシーズン】一発と継投、構造が生んだ勝利──マリナーズ vs ブルージェイズ Game1 (2025年10月13日)
一発と継投、構造が生んだ勝利──マリナーズ vs ブルージェイズ Game1 (2025年10月13日)
ブルージェイズは、この構造の揺らぎをどう修正するのか。それとも、マリナーズの勢いが、そのままALCSを飲み込むのか？ Game 2以降、彼らは「ホームの威圧感」を取り戻せるんだろうか。
A Blast and Bullpen Structure Led to Victory──Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 (October 13, 2025 JST)
The American League Championship Series (ALCS) has begun, and the **Mariners** took Game 1 at the **Blue Jays**' home field, Rogers Centre. Early on, I thought "Seriously?" when the Blue Jays' **Springer** hit a leadoff home run, but the Mariners remained unfazed. They relied on **Miller's** gritty pitching and a crucial solo homer by **Raleigh** in the 6th inning to tie the game. Immediately after, **Polanco's** timely hit put them ahead. Polanco then added an insurance run in the 8th, sealing the **3-1** victory. The Blue Jays' bullpen, after starter **Gausman** exited, showed a slight crack in its armor. The Mariners snatched a huge advantage on the road in this electrifying opener.
📊 Scoreboard: Power and the Persistence of the Bullpen
Team
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
H
E
Mariners
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
3
7
1
Blue Jays
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
Venue: Rogers Centre
Attendance: 44,474
Game Time: 2 hours 48 minutes
Winning Pitcher: Mariners **Miller** (1-0)
Losing Pitcher: Blue Jays **Gausman** (1-1)
Save: Mariners **Muñoz** (2 S)
Home Runs:
Mariners: **Raleigh** 2nd HR (6th inning, solo)
Blue Jays: **Springer** 2nd HR (1st inning, solo)
⚾ Scoring Plays
Bottom 1st: Blue Jays **Springer** hits the first pitch to right field for a leadoff solo HR, putting the Blue Jays ahead. (TOR 1-0 SEA)
Top 6th: Mariners **Raleigh** blasts a solo HR to the right-center stands, tying the game. (TOR 1-1 SEA)
Top 6th: After a Blue Jays pitching change, a wild pitch by **Little** moves a runner to second with two outs, and **Polanco** hits an RBI single to left field for the go-ahead run. (TOR 1-2 SEA)
Top 8th: Mariners **Polanco** hits an RBI single to right field with runners at first and third, providing a crucial insurance run. (TOR 1-3 SEA)
🧾 Starting Lineups (Positional Comparison)
Mariners
Position
Blue Jays
Randy Arozarena (.174)
LF
Anthony Santander (.200)
Cal Raleigh (.381)
C
Alejandro Kirk (.222)
Julio Rodriguez (.174)
CF
Daulton Varsho (.438)
Jorge Polanco (.182)
2B
Ernie Clement (.643)
Joshua Naylor (.261)
1B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.529)
Eugenio Suárez (.095)
3B
Addison Burger (.333)
Dominic Canzone (.167)
DH
George Springer (.176)
Victor Robles (.143)
RF
Nathan Lukes (.333)
J.P. Crawford (.263)
SS
Andrés Giménez (.267)
Bryce Miller (4.15)
P
Kevin Gausman (1.59)
🧠 Baseball Freak's Analysis: "Storytelling Swings" and "Structural Instability"
🔬 Analysis of Key Hitters
The stars of the night were undoubtedly the Mariners' **Cal Raleigh** and **Jorge Polanco**. The Blue Jays' **Gausman** was dominating with pure velocity early on, but Raleigh's 6th-inning blast (his 2nd HR) completely shifted the atmosphere of the game. That wasn't just a tying run; it was a "storytelling swing" that rattled Gausman's very "structure." Then came Polanco's go-ahead single immediately after. Looking at the stats, Polanco had been struggling with a .182 average, yet he delivered back-to-back timely hits in crucial spots tonight. The 6th-inning hit, in particular, was a demonstration of a winner's mentality, capitalizing on a wild pitch by reliever **Little** to drive in the runner from second. That one blast and one hit created a fissure in the Blue Jays' tight relief structure.
📐 Lineup Structure Analysis
While the Mariners' 7 hits didn't overwhelmingly dominate the Blue Jays' 2 hits, their approach to scoring was brilliant. They used a home run to tie, then capitalized on a walk and a wild pitch to extend the opportunity for a timely hit. It was a "point" of explosion that they successfully connected into a "line" by leveraging an opponent's mistake (the wild pitch). Conversely, the Blue Jays' offense went completely silent after Springer's opening blast against **Miller**. Despite **Guerrero Jr.'s** stellar .529 average, the lineup as a whole managed only 2 hits. The individual hot streaks of their players failed to function as a cohesive "structure" in this game. The difference lies between the Mariners, who created a "connecting form" with **Rodriguez** drawing a walk and Polanco driving him in, and the Blue Jays, whose scoring ended with a single home run. This contrast is profound.
📈 Maintaining Bullpen Structure
The Mariners' victory cannot be discussed without mentioning the enduring performance of starter **Miller**. Despite surrendering the bomb to Springer, he held the potent Blue Jays lineup to just 2 hits through 6+ innings. It's a huge factor that a pitcher with a 4.15 ERA managed to match or even surpass the performance of ace **Gausman** (1.59 ERA) on the ALCS stage. Furthermore, the bullpen trio of **Spiers**, **Brash**, and **Muñoz** perfectly "maintained the structure" without succumbing to the Blue Jays' "structural instability." Muñoz was particularly dominant in the save. In contrast, the Blue Jays' structure crumbled after Gausman's departure when Little was tagged by Polanco. I feel that the **wild pitch** by Little was the trigger that led to the collapse of the tight game structure Gausman had built. It exposed the psychological fragility beneath the numbers.
🔮 Future Outlook: The Flow from Game 2 Onward
By winning the opener on the road, the Mariners have seized a massive advantage. The Blue Jays face a difficult situation with their pitching staff after losing Gausman's start. They must rely on their red-hot clean-up hitters to finally break through. But will the lineup that Miller shut down be able to solve the Mariners' next pitcher in Game 2? I hope the Blue Jays, who are supposed to boast one of the AL's most powerful offenses, haven't suffered psychological damage from this loss.
The Mariners, despite being a young team, are achieving "structural victories" in the postseason. The performances of key players like Raleigh and Polanco will inject momentum into the entire squad. The key now is whether they can maintain this momentum and if their next starting pitcher can deliver a solid outing. The Blue Jays' true value is about to be tested on the ALCS stage.
How will the Blue Jays fix this structural instability? Or will the Mariners' momentum simply swallow up the ALCS? Will the Blue Jays be able to reclaim their "home field intimidation" in Game 2 and beyond?
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